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Red61
694837.1
1042215.9
83088.9
Blue84
960962.2
753634.6
92474.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions549402040801201401606184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+9
Endgame+21
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points4
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +8
9Coral scored#11
33Coral points39
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#4
6Processor points0
8Net points16
14Algae points16
47Total teleop55
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#2
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points2
61Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6948
#11
37.10.8
28.028.8
Auto9.1
Teleop26.1
End1.9
blue by 25.1
62.20.1
43.143.2
Auto11.1
Teleop41.5
End9.6
Second
15.90.8
15.215.9
Auto4.0
Teleop9.8
End2.0
blue by 18.7
34.60.1
30.030.1
Auto7.2
Teleop26.5
End0.9
Third
8308
#30
8.90.8
10.911.7
Auto1.4
Teleop6.4
End1.2
red by 4.4
9247
#48
4.50.1
8.08.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned