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Red91
923126.6
687427.2
1043217.1
Blue36
807114.7
60646.5
1030818.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions704402060801001209136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+21Teleop
+21Endgame
+55Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +21
6Coral scored#4
20Coral points15
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
12Processor points0
8Net points4
20Algae points4
40Total teleop19
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
11Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
36Foul points2
91Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6874
#25
27.20.6
19.519.0
Auto4.5
Teleop21.1
End1.6
red by 9.3
18.00.9
13.712.8
Auto5.2
Teleop10.7
End2.1
Second
9231
#12
26.60.6
20.319.7
Auto4.7
Teleop19.9
End2.0
red by 11.9
8071
#42
14.70.9
17.416.5
Auto3.3
Teleop9.2
End2.2
Third
17.10.6
20.219.7
Auto3.1
Teleop11.6
End2.4
red by 10.6
6064
#37
6.50.9
10.910.0
Auto2.9
Teleop3.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed