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Red29
1020916.0
1033717.4
90267.2
Blue93
1023425.7
290517.6
1054135.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53720204060801001201402993

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+46
Endgame+58
Fouls+64
AutonomousBlue +16
3Leave9
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
6Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +30
4Coral scored#10
15Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
21Total teleop51
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +64
0Foul points6
29Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.42.4
21.619.2
Auto3.8
Teleop12.1
End1.4
blue by 17.8
35.12.5
23.025.5
Auto7.5
Teleop22.4
End5.2
Second
16.02.4
15.713.4
Auto3.5
Teleop11.0
End1.5
blue by 9.7
25.72.5
20.422.9
Auto6.4
Teleop17.6
End1.6
Third
9026
#36
7.22.4
13.010.6
Auto2.2
Teleop4.1
End0.9
blue by 10.5
2905
#27
17.62.5
21.023.6
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsEarned