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Red107
566533.9
753960.1
774212.3
Blue64
1039617.3
1020314.6
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79400206010012014016010764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+31Teleop
+33Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
0Leave6
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points9
17Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +29
17Coral scored#6
60Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
74Total teleop45
Reef
5L4#2
8L3#2
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
10Foul points0
107Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.11.6
39.240.7
Auto12.9
Teleop38.1
End9.1
red by 42.8
17.31.1
12.313.5
Auto5.5
Teleop10.8
End1.1
Second
33.91.6
25.827.4
Auto6.6
Teleop24.6
End2.7
red by 19.3
14.61.1
14.415.5
Auto2.8
Teleop11.4
End0.5
Third
7742
#24
12.31.6
3.65.2
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End0.6
red by 2.9
9.41.1
13.214.3
Auto3.1
Teleop6.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsMissed