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Red91
1033422.7
640224.4
757625.9
Blue77
808425.6
577316.4
952322.0
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675830405080901009177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+4Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +4
15Coral scored#12
54Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
68Total teleop64
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#4
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
91Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7576
#16
25.91.3
19.420.6
Auto4.3
Teleop20.5
End1.1
red by 0.3
8084
#19
25.60.8
18.219.1
Auto4.7
Teleop19.6
End1.3
Second
6402
#14
24.41.3
18.519.8
Auto3.2
Teleop14.8
End6.4
red by 2.4
9523
#17
22.00.8
20.621.5
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End1.2
Third
22.71.3
20.722.0
Auto3.5
Teleop16.8
End2.4
red by 6.3
5773
#34
16.40.8
12.313.1
Auto2.9
Teleop12.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed