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Red66
908918.0
83088.9
82632.5
Blue33
1069211.1
1068910.0
1006411.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374701020306070806633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+13Teleop
+13Endgame
+33Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +13
6Coral scored#4
22Coral points13
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
36Total teleop23
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
20Foul points0
66Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9089
#21
18.00.4
15.616.0
Auto3.3
Teleop12.2
End2.4
red by 6.8
11.11.7
14.913.2
Auto4.6
Teleop5.8
End0.7
Second
8308
#30
8.90.4
11.712.1
Auto1.4
Teleop6.4
End1.2
blue by 2.1
11.01.7
14.312.6
Auto2.4
Teleop7.1
End1.5
Third
8263
#40
2.50.4
7.17.6
Auto1.8
Teleop-0.0
End0.7
blue by 7.5
10.01.7
9.98.2
Auto2.2
Teleop5.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed