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Red80
753634.6
923126.6
60646.5
Blue45
1035313.4
698525.1
623212.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67480204060801008045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+41Teleop
+31Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +31
12Coral scored#6
42Coral points21
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
56Total teleop25
Reef
3L4#2
4L3#1
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
4Foul points0
80Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.61.8
30.131.9
Auto7.2
Teleop26.5
End0.9
red by 9.5
6985
#15
25.10.1
24.524.4
Auto6.8
Teleop15.6
End2.7
Second
9231
#12
26.61.8
19.721.5
Auto4.7
Teleop19.9
End2.0
red by 13.2
13.40.1
10.410.3
Auto2.8
Teleop8.4
End2.1
Third
6064
#37
6.51.8
10.011.8
Auto2.9
Teleop3.3
End0.3
blue by 6.4
6232
#33
12.90.1
11.111.0
Auto1.4
Teleop8.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned