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Red36
92474.5
1033422.7
774820.6
Blue78
774212.3
757625.9
1054135.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526402040801001203678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+42
Endgame+42
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +32
4Coral scored#12
14Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
24Total teleop56
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points0
36Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.7
22.021.3
Auto3.5
Teleop16.8
End2.4
blue by 12.4
35.13.0
25.528.5
Auto7.5
Teleop22.4
End5.2
Second
7748
#32
20.60.7
12.211.5
Auto5.7
Teleop13.3
End1.6
blue by 5.3
7576
#16
25.93.0
20.623.6
Auto4.3
Teleop20.5
End1.1
Third
9247
#48
4.50.7
8.17.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.9
End1.8
blue by 7.8
7742
#24
12.33.0
5.28.1
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed