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Qual 492025 İstanbul Regional
Red0
902011.3
96015.5
83088.9
Blue59
103286.6
687427.2
1035313.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50400206080100120059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+55
Endgame+59
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
0Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +42
0Coral scored#9
0Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
0Total teleop42
Reef
0L4#6
0L3#2
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
0Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points0
0Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9020
#6
11.34.5
17.1→12.6
Auto3.6
Teleop6.4
End1.3
blue by 15.9
6874
#25
27.22.6
21.6→24.2
Auto4.5
Teleop21.1
End1.6
Second
8308
#30
8.94.5
12.1→7.6
Auto1.4
Teleop6.4
End1.2
blue by 4.5
10353
#29
13.42.6
10.3→13.0
Auto2.8
Teleop8.4
End2.1
Third
9601
#45
5.54.5
11.5→7.0
Auto1.3
Teleop3.9
End0.3
blue by 1.0
10328
#43
6.62.6
3.3→5.9
Auto1.1
Teleop4.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed