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Red74
60646.5
821445.4
96015.5
Blue33
1033717.4
774820.6
83088.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695702040801001201401607433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+37Teleop
+35Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave0
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
20Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +23
11Coral scored#4
40Coral points15
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
48Total teleop25
Reef
7L4#2
3L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
6Foul points0
74Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.9
25.025.9
Auto12.5
Teleop32.4
End0.5
red by 24.8
7748
#32
20.62.0
17.115.1
Auto5.7
Teleop13.3
End1.6
Second
6064
#37
6.50.9
19.920.8
Auto2.9
Teleop3.3
End0.3
blue by 10.8
17.43.0
18.815.8
Auto3.8
Teleop12.1
End1.4
Third
9601
#45DQ
5.50.9
14.915.8
Auto1.3
Teleop3.9
End0.3
blue by 3.4
8308
#30
8.92.0
16.514.4
Auto1.4
Teleop6.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed