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Red44
1054135.1
807114.7
566533.9
Blue7
902011.3
62289.9
82632.5
78%Model gave it22%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions725420406080100120447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+35Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave3
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +22
3Coral scored#0
12Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
22Total teleop0
Reef
2L4#0
2L3#0
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
8Game pieces#0
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points0
44Total score7

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.127.9
43.415.5
Auto7.5
Teleop22.4
End5.2
red by 23.8
11.34.7
15.811.2
Auto3.6
Teleop6.4
End1.3
Second
33.92.3
26.023.7
Auto6.6
Teleop24.6
End2.7
red by 23.9
6228
#39
9.94.7
17.412.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.1
End2.7
Third
8071
#42
14.72.3
17.715.4
Auto3.3
Teleop9.2
End2.2
red by 12.1
8263
#40DQ
2.54.7
16.011.3
Auto1.8
Teleop-0.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed