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Red94
753960.1
698525.1
952322.0
Blue55
757625.9
942214.3
908918.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8458020401001201401609455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+33Teleop
+33Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points6
17Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +28
13Coral scored#7
47Coral points25
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
67Total teleop39
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
6Foul points0
94Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.11.5
27.929.4
Auto12.9
Teleop38.1
End9.1
red by 34.3
7576
#16
25.90.1
21.721.6
Auto4.3
Teleop20.5
End1.1
Second
6985
#15
25.11.5
24.826.3
Auto6.8
Teleop15.6
End2.7
red by 7.2
9089
#21
18.00.1
16.716.6
Auto3.3
Teleop12.2
End2.4
Third
9523
#17
22.01.5
18.920.4
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End1.2
red by 7.7
9422
#18
14.30.1
14.814.6
Auto5.1
Teleop6.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed