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Red16
1035313.4
1042215.9
290517.6
Blue70
1043217.1
951931.7
601420.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69622030405080901670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+54
Endgame+54
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +48
3Coral scored#10
9Coral points37
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
0Processor points12
0Net points8
0Algae points20
9Total teleop57
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#4
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points0
16Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2905
#27
17.64.9
24.119.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End2.6
blue by 14.0
31.71.7
17.619.3
Auto8.2
Teleop19.4
End4.0
Second
15.92.9
15.912.9
Auto4.0
Teleop9.8
End2.0
blue by 5.0
6014
#10
20.81.7
19.521.2
Auto5.8
Teleop12.0
End3.1
Third
10353
#29DQ
13.40.4
13.412.9
Auto2.8
Teleop8.4
End2.1
blue by 3.8
17.12.3
17.119.5
Auto3.1
Teleop11.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed