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Red16
1030818.0
808425.6
1068910.0
Blue100
623212.9
1020916.0
960962.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5981010015020016100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+70
Endgame+78
Fouls+84
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave3
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points21
6Total auto24
TeleoperatedBlue +52
1Coral scored#13
4Coral points46
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
4Total teleop56
Reef
1L4#8
0L3#2
0L2#5
0L1 · trough#2
1Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +84
0Foul points6
16Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8084
#19
25.64.2
25.821.7
Auto4.7
Teleop19.6
End1.3
blue by 36.6
62.22.8
37.140.0
Auto11.1
Teleop41.5
End9.6
Second
18.04.2
13.59.3
Auto5.2
Teleop10.7
End2.1
red by 2.0
10209
#46DQ
16.02.8
14.217.1
Auto3.5
Teleop11.0
End1.5
Third
10.04.2
14.210.0
Auto2.2
Teleop5.9
End1.9
blue by 2.9
6232
#33
12.92.8
17.119.9
Auto1.4
Teleop8.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsEarned