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Red87
1054135.1
1068910.0
1042215.9
Blue96
923126.6
808425.6
757625.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions537902040601001201408796

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+21
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
4Coral scored#2
19Coral points10
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +24
8Coral scored#17
28Coral points62
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
52Total teleop76
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#6
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
2Foul points2
87Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.13.9
28.532.3
Auto7.5
Teleop22.4
End5.2
red by 8.5
9231
#12
26.63.1
21.524.6
Auto4.7
Teleop19.9
End2.0
Second
15.93.9
13.617.5
Auto4.0
Teleop9.8
End2.0
blue by 10.0
7576
#16
25.93.1
23.626.7
Auto4.3
Teleop20.5
End1.1
Third
10.03.9
8.212.1
Auto2.2
Teleop5.9
End1.9
blue by 15.6
8084
#19
25.63.1
20.924.0
Auto4.7
Teleop19.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed