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Red102
821445.4
1033422.7
1023425.7
Blue37
807114.7
623212.9
92474.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1032405015010237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+77Teleop
+71Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
9Leave0
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points3
26Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +54
14Coral scored#4
52Coral points16
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
12Processor points6
12Net points0
24Algae points6
76Total teleop22
Reef
5L4#2
5L3#1
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
0Foul points6
102Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.41.0
41.442.4
Auto12.5
Teleop32.4
End0.5
red by 30.7
8071
#42
14.70.8
13.813.0
Auto3.3
Teleop9.2
End2.2
Second
25.71.0
24.825.8
Auto6.4
Teleop17.6
End1.6
red by 12.7
6232
#33
12.90.8
11.010.2
Auto1.4
Teleop8.3
End3.2
Third
22.71.0
21.322.3
Auto3.5
Teleop16.8
End2.4
red by 18.2
9247
#48
4.50.8
7.46.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed