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Red51
290517.6
1069211.1
774820.6
Blue145
753960.1
1030818.0
694837.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48108015051145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+80
Endgame+94
Fouls+94
AutonomousBlue +28
9Leave6
1Coral scored#7
3Coral points34
12Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +52
8Coral scored#16
29Coral points59
0Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
0Processor points18
8Net points12
8Algae points30
37Total teleop89
Reef
5L4#11
2L3#5
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +94
0Foul points0
51Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7748
#32
20.60.5
11.511.1
Auto5.7
Teleop13.3
End1.6
blue by 39.5
60.15.4
43.749.0
Auto12.9
Teleop38.1
End9.1
Second
2905
#27
17.60.5
21.621.1
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End2.6
blue by 19.5
6948
#11
37.15.4
30.736.0
Auto9.1
Teleop26.1
End1.9
Third
11.10.5
13.212.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.8
End0.7
blue by 6.8
18.05.4
13.418.8
Auto5.2
Teleop10.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned