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Red123
753634.6
1033717.4
902011.3
Blue18
62289.9
90267.2
942214.3
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6738020608010012012318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+49Teleop
+45Endgame
+105Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +46
10Coral scored#1
37Coral points3
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
0Processor points0
12Net points0
12Algae points0
49Total teleop3
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
15Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +105
60Foul points0
123Total score18

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.60.4
32.733.1
Auto7.2
Teleop26.5
End0.9
red by 20.3
9422
#18
14.32.0
16.314.3
Auto5.1
Teleop6.9
End2.3
Second
17.40.4
13.914.3
Auto3.8
Teleop12.1
End1.4
red by 7.4
6228
#39
9.92.0
11.99.9
Auto3.2
Teleop4.1
End2.7
Third
11.30.4
12.613.0
Auto3.6
Teleop6.4
End1.3
red by 4.2
9026
#36
7.22.0
9.27.2
Auto2.2
Teleop4.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed