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Red50
757625.9
Blue23
82632.5
1006411.0
1043217.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534510203040607080905023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+29Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +32
7Coral scored#2
24Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
42Total teleop10
Reef
2L4#1
3L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
11Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
50Total score23

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7576
#16
25.90.6
26.727.3
Auto4.3
Teleop20.5
End1.1
red by 8.7
17.11.6
18.717.1
Auto3.1
Teleop11.6
End2.4
Second
9.40.6
8.89.4
Auto3.1
Teleop6.2
End0.1
blue by 1.6
11.01.6
12.611.0
Auto2.4
Teleop7.1
End1.5
Third
6.60.6
5.96.6
Auto1.1
Teleop4.5
End0.9
red by 4.0
8263
#40
2.51.6
4.22.5
Auto1.8
Teleop-0.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed14%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed