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Red25
96015.5
952322.0
Blue70
83088.9
1023425.7
808425.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions377002060801001202570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+43
Endgame+47
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +37
2Coral scored#10
8Coral points35
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
12Total teleop49
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
2Foul points0
25Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9523
#17
22.01.4
22.821.3
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End1.2
blue by 3.7
25.71.3
25.827.1
Auto6.4
Teleop17.6
End1.6
Second
5.71.4
7.25.7
Auto2.1
Teleop2.5
End1.1
blue by 19.9
8084
#19
25.61.3
24.025.3
Auto4.7
Teleop19.6
End1.3
Third
9601
#45
5.51.4
7.05.5
Auto1.3
Teleop3.9
End0.3
blue by 3.4
8308
#30
8.91.3
7.68.9
Auto1.4
Teleop6.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed