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Red78
577316.4
687427.2
623212.9
Blue112
908918.0
1054135.1
951931.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions508902040608010012014016078112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+16
Endgame+24
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +12
12Coral scored#16
44Coral points56
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
58Total teleop70
Reef
5L4#9
4L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
2Foul points12
78Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6874
#25
27.22.7
24.227.0
Auto4.5
Teleop21.1
End1.6
blue by 7.9
35.12.1
32.334.4
Auto7.5
Teleop22.4
End5.2
Second
5773
#34
16.42.7
15.318.0
Auto2.9
Teleop12.6
End0.9
blue by 15.3
31.72.1
29.731.8
Auto8.2
Teleop19.4
End4.0
Third
6232
#33
12.92.7
10.212.9
Auto1.4
Teleop8.3
End3.2
blue by 5.0
9089
#21
18.02.1
17.519.6
Auto3.3
Teleop12.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
9%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned