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Red23
290517.6
92474.5
1068910.0
Blue51
698525.1
1020314.6
60646.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4062020801002351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+18
Endgame+14
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +12
3Coral scored#4
10Coral points16
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
14Total teleop26
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#2
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#7
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points14
23Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2905
#27
17.62.1
21.119.1
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End2.6
blue by 7.5
6985
#15
25.11.8
27.125.3
Auto6.8
Teleop15.6
End2.7
Second
10.02.1
12.110.0
Auto2.2
Teleop5.9
End1.9
blue by 4.6
14.61.8
16.414.6
Auto2.8
Teleop11.4
End0.5
Third
9247
#48
4.52.1
6.64.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.9
End1.8
blue by 2.0
6064
#37
6.51.8
8.46.5
Auto2.9
Teleop3.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed