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Red67
1039617.3
1030818.0
566533.9
Blue101
1033422.7
694837.1
1035313.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80825010015067101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+16
Endgame+14
Fouls+34
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points10
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +19
9Coral scored#14
31Coral points50
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
45Total teleop64
Reef
6L4#7
3L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points20
67Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.8
33.732.8
Auto6.6
Teleop24.6
End2.7
blue by 3.2
6948
#11
37.10.4
36.036.4
Auto9.1
Teleop26.1
End1.9
Second
18.00.8
18.818.0
Auto5.2
Teleop10.7
End2.1
blue by 4.8
22.70.4
22.322.7
Auto3.5
Teleop16.8
End2.4
Third
17.30.8
17.116.3
Auto5.5
Teleop10.8
End1.1
red by 4.0
13.40.4
13.013.4
Auto2.8
Teleop8.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed