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Red165
753960.1
1033717.4
960962.2
Blue36
1023425.7
290517.6
757625.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154695010020025030016536

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+109Teleop
+123Endgame
+129Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave9
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points6
36Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +88
20Coral scored#3
71Coral points11
4Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
24Processor points0
12Net points8
36Algae points8
107Total teleop19
Reef
10L4#1
7L3#1
5L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#6
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +129
6Foul points0
165Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.20.8
59.960.7
Auto11.1
Teleop41.5
End9.6
red by 36.4
7576
#16
25.91.2
27.326.1
Auto4.3
Teleop20.5
End1.1
Second
60.10.8
57.858.6
Auto12.9
Teleop38.1
End9.1
red by 34.5
25.71.2
27.125.9
Auto6.4
Teleop17.6
End1.6
Third
17.40.8
15.015.8
Auto3.8
Teleop12.1
End1.4
blue by 0.3
2905
#27
17.61.2
19.117.9
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End2.6