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Red232
978619.2
636979.1
910563.8
Blue169
246851.1
331042.1
754021.0
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18812350100150200250300232169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+53Teleop
+63Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points27
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +46
35Coral scored#21
127Coral points77
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#7
18Processor points18
24Net points28
42Algae points46
169Total teleop123
Reef
17L4#9
12L3#5
5L2#6
8L1 · trough#6
51Game pieces#36
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +63
0Foul points0
232Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.11.1
77.278.4
Auto19.8
Teleop47.1
End12.2
red by 28.0
51.10.9
49.450.3
Auto6.1
Teleop38.5
End6.4
Second
63.81.1
61.963.1
Auto14.2
Teleop40.8
End8.7
red by 21.7
3310
#12
42.10.9
40.441.3
Auto8.7
Teleop26.5
End6.8
Third
9786
#30
19.21.1
17.318.4
Auto3.7
Teleop13.5
End1.9
blue by 1.9
7540
#34
21.00.9
19.320.2
Auto2.8
Teleop16.0
End2.2