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Red145
541162.7
949249.5
425119.7
Blue159
246851.1
331042.1
754021.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14611550100200250145159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+12
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
7Coral scored#5
34Coral points24
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +19
17Coral scored#21
60Coral points75
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
84Total teleop103
Reef
9L4#10
5L3#5
6L2#7
4L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
145Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.70.2
62.662.7
Auto14.7
Teleop39.0
End9.1
red by 11.7
51.11.0
48.449.4
Auto6.1
Teleop38.5
End6.4
Second
49.50.2
49.349.5
Auto9.6
Teleop32.6
End7.4
red by 7.4
3310
#12
42.11.0
39.340.4
Auto8.7
Teleop26.5
End6.8
Third
4251
#25
19.70.2
19.619.7
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End3.8
blue by 1.3
7540
#34
21.01.0
18.319.3
Auto2.8
Teleop16.0
End2.2