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Red131
303537.2
950628.5
874943.4
Blue149
246851.1
331042.1
754021.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12211950100150200250131149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+30
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points23
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +33
16Coral scored#18
59Coral points66
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#7
12Processor points18
8Net points28
20Algae points46
79Total teleop112
Reef
7L4#9
6L3#8
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#33
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
131Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.40.1
43.343.4
Auto9.4
Teleop26.2
End7.8
blue by 7.7
51.10.6
47.748.4
Auto6.1
Teleop38.5
End6.4
Second
37.20.1
37.137.2
Auto6.5
Teleop26.9
End3.8
blue by 4.9
3310
#12
42.10.6
38.739.3
Auto8.7
Teleop26.5
End6.8
Third
9506
#22
28.50.1
28.328.5
Auto3.6
Teleop19.3
End5.5
red by 7.5
7540
#34
21.00.6
17.718.3
Auto2.8
Teleop16.0
End2.2