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Red198
541162.7
949249.5
425119.7
Blue208
978619.2
636979.1
910563.8
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137178100150200250198208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+10
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
7Coral scored#6
37Coral points31
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +10
31Coral scored#28
113Coral points101
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#7
12Processor points18
12Net points28
24Algae points46
137Total teleop147
Reef
16L4#14
8L3#11
7L2#5
7L1 · trough#4
43Game pieces#44
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
198Total score208

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.71.2
61.362.6
Auto14.7
Teleop39.0
End9.1
blue by 16.4
79.10.8
76.477.2
Auto19.8
Teleop47.1
End12.2
Second
49.51.2
48.149.3
Auto9.6
Teleop32.6
End7.4
blue by 14.3
63.80.8
61.161.9
Auto14.2
Teleop40.8
End8.7
Third
4251
#25
19.71.2
18.319.6
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End3.8
red by 0.6
9786
#30
19.20.8
16.517.3
Auto3.7
Teleop13.5
End1.9