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Red124
874943.4
950628.5
303537.2
Blue99
473437.1
750621.0
406338.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1221055015020012499

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+1
+19Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points17
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +6
12Coral scored#13
42Coral points46
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
76Total teleop70
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#5
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#21
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +25
6Foul points0
124Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.40.2
43.143.3
Auto9.4
Teleop26.2
End7.8
red by 4.9
38.50.1
38.538.5
Auto6.4
Teleop30.2
End2.0
Second
37.20.2
36.937.1
Auto6.5
Teleop26.9
End3.8
red by 0.1
4734
#18
37.10.1
37.137.1
Auto8.5
Teleop24.4
End4.2
Third
9506
#22
28.50.2
28.128.3
Auto3.6
Teleop19.3
End5.5
red by 7.5
7506
#19
21.00.1
20.921.0
Auto4.0
Teleop12.0
End5.0