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Red181
246851.1
331042.1
754021.0
Blue150
116432.7
1034035.1
697423.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123107050150200250181150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+43Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
5Coral scored#6
24Coral points30
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +43
28Coral scored#22
101Coral points80
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
18Processor points12
28Net points12
46Algae points24
147Total teleop104
Reef
13L4#10
13L3#8
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
43Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
181Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.11.2
46.547.7
Auto6.1
Teleop38.5
End6.4
red by 15.9
35.10.7
34.435.1
Auto9.2
Teleop20.3
End5.6
Second
3310
#12
42.11.2
37.538.7
Auto8.7
Teleop26.5
End6.8
red by 9.3
1164
#10
32.70.7
32.032.7
Auto6.7
Teleop24.7
End1.4
Third
7540
#34
21.01.2
16.517.7
Auto2.8
Teleop16.0
End2.2
blue by 2.8
6974
#14
23.80.7
23.123.8
Auto3.1
Teleop17.1
End3.6