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Red237
978619.2
636979.1
910563.8
Blue147
874943.4
950628.5
303537.2
97%Model gave it3%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180115100150200250237147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+39Auto
+86Teleop
+88Endgame
+90Fouls
AutonomousRed +39
9Leave9
8Coral scored#1
42Coral points3
51Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +47
32Coral scored#18
116Coral points65
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#7
18Processor points18
24Net points28
42Algae points46
158Total teleop111
Reef
16L4#8
12L3#5
7L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
49Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +90
2Foul points0
237Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.11.4
75.176.4
Auto19.8
Teleop47.1
End12.2
red by 35.7
43.40.4
42.643.1
Auto9.4
Teleop26.2
End7.8
Second
63.81.4
59.861.1
Auto14.2
Teleop40.8
End8.7
red by 26.6
37.20.4
36.436.9
Auto6.5
Teleop26.9
End3.8
Third
9786
#30
19.21.4
15.116.5
Auto3.7
Teleop13.5
End1.9
blue by 9.3
9506
#22
28.50.4
27.728.1
Auto3.6
Teleop19.3
End5.5