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Red168
541162.7
949249.5
425119.7
Blue136
246851.1
331042.1
754021.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13910650150200168136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+40Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave9
6Coral scored#1
28Coral points7
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +19
24Coral scored#19
87Coral points70
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
12Processor points6
16Net points20
28Algae points26
115Total teleop96
Reef
10L4#8
11L3#6
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
168Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.70.8
60.561.3
Auto14.7
Teleop39.0
End9.1
red by 11.7
51.10.7
45.846.5
Auto6.1
Teleop38.5
End6.4
Second
49.50.8
47.348.1
Auto9.6
Teleop32.6
End7.4
red by 7.4
3310
#12
42.10.7
36.837.5
Auto8.7
Teleop26.5
End6.8
Third
4251
#25
19.70.8
17.518.3
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End3.8
blue by 1.3
7540
#34
21.00.7
15.816.5
Auto2.8
Teleop16.0
End2.2