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Red68
265713.6
473437.1
303537.2
Blue44
278924.7
754021.0
750621.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions865702040801001201406844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+28Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave9
5Coral scored#0
24Coral points0
27Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +10
7Coral scored#6
25Coral points21
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
39Total teleop29
Reef
4L4#2
5L3#2
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
68Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.20.0
31.131.1
Auto6.5
Teleop26.9
End3.8
red by 12.5
2789
#27
24.70.3
28.227.9
Auto5.8
Teleop14.9
End4.0
Second
4734
#18
37.10.0
25.825.7
Auto8.5
Teleop24.4
End4.2
red by 16.1
7540
#34
21.00.3
9.49.0
Auto2.8
Teleop16.0
End2.2
Third
2657
#29
13.60.0
11.611.6
Auto3.2
Teleop7.0
End3.4
blue by 7.4
7506
#19
21.00.3
11.611.2
Auto4.0
Teleop12.0
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed