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Red94
913637.5
727112.1
910563.8
Blue95
541162.7
561311.4
840813.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95580501509495

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+1Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points17
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +4
11Coral scored#12
40Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
62Total teleop58
Reef
5L4#7
5L3#3
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
94Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.80.4
47.548.0
Auto14.2
Teleop40.8
End8.7
red by 1.0
62.72.3
47.349.5
Auto14.7
Teleop39.0
End9.1
Second
9136
#11
37.50.4
33.233.7
Auto5.4
Teleop29.5
End2.6
red by 23.7
8408
#20
13.82.3
8.710.9
Auto4.5
Teleop6.9
End2.4
Third
7271
#36DQ
12.10.4
6.87.2
Auto1.1
Teleop9.2
End1.9
red by 0.7
5613
#28
11.42.3
5.17.4
Auto3.1
Teleop6.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned