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Red61
978619.2
950628.5
116432.7
Blue118
962019.1
521224.5
636979.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51113010015020061118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+49
Endgame+49
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +15
6Leave3
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points24
12Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +34
10Coral scored#18
37Coral points63
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
47Total teleop81
Reef
5L4#7
2L3#6
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points8
61Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1164
#10
32.70.5
23.323.7
Auto6.7
Teleop24.7
End1.4
blue by 46.4
79.11.1
64.465.4
Auto19.8
Teleop47.1
End12.2
Second
9506
#22
28.50.5
21.521.9
Auto3.6
Teleop19.3
End5.5
red by 3.9
5212
#16
24.51.1
14.815.8
Auto3.2
Teleop20.5
End0.8
Third
9786
#30
19.20.5
9.29.7
Auto3.7
Teleop13.5
End1.9
red by 0.1
9620
#23
19.11.8
14.816.6
Auto3.5
Teleop16.2
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsMissed