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Red102
874943.4
908018.7
881612.9
Blue54
331042.1
852811.5
425119.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions717705010015020010254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+26Teleop
+34Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +23
9Coral scored#6
34Coral points21
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
62Total teleop39
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#11
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
14Foul points0
102Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.41.3
32.734.0
Auto9.4
Teleop26.2
End7.8
red by 1.3
3310
#12
42.11.3
37.235.9
Auto8.7
Teleop26.5
End6.8
Second
9080
#33
18.71.3
16.117.4
Auto3.8
Teleop12.1
End2.7
blue by 1.1
4251
#25
19.71.3
12.811.5
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End3.8
Third
8816
#35
12.91.3
13.614.9
Auto3.7
Teleop7.0
End2.3
red by 1.4
8528
#32
11.51.3
15.814.4
Auto2.9
Teleop5.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsMissed