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Red131
586619.0
415322.3
406338.5
Blue91
912838.8
697423.8
1034035.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions771195010015020013191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+36Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +33
18Coral scored#14
64Coral points49
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
18Processor points12
24Net points12
42Algae points24
106Total teleop73
Reef
4L4#4
6L3#5
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#19
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
131Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.52.4
33.235.6
Auto6.4
Teleop30.2
End2.0
blue by 0.2
9128
#17
38.82.6
48.245.6
Auto7.9
Teleop25.0
End5.9
Second
22.32.4
17.619.9
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End4.7
blue by 12.8
35.12.6
28.526.0
Auto9.2
Teleop20.3
End5.6
Third
5866
#24
19.02.4
14.917.3
Auto4.0
Teleop10.5
End4.6
blue by 4.8
6974
#14
23.82.6
18.916.4
Auto3.1
Teleop17.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsMissed