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Red113
708814.4
949249.5
246851.1
Blue32
851217.1
676824.3
1006213.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9843020608012014016011332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+61Teleop
+81Endgame
+81Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave3
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points9
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +50
9Coral scored#3
32Coral points10
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#0
18Processor points6
16Net points0
34Algae points6
66Total teleop16
Reef
6L4#1
4L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#6
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +81
0Foul points0
113Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.12.0
36.338.3
Auto6.1
Teleop38.5
End6.4
red by 26.8
6768
#31
24.30.7
15.214.5
Auto5.0
Teleop16.9
End2.5
Second
49.52.0
35.137.1
Auto9.6
Teleop32.6
End7.4
red by 32.4
8512
#15
17.11.2
14.813.6
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End2.8
Third
7088
#26
14.42.0
11.513.5
Auto3.4
Teleop7.2
End3.7
red by 0.5
13.90.7
12.511.8
Auto3.3
Teleop7.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed