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Red26
851217.1
561311.4
727112.1
Blue50
708814.4
116432.7
425119.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365302060801002650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+30
Endgame+30
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +20
3Coral scored#6
10Coral points20
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
10Total teleop30
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#2
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
6Foul points0
26Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8512
#15
17.11.4
16.715.4
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End2.8
blue by 15.7
1164
#10
32.70.3
20.821.1
Auto6.7
Teleop24.7
End1.4
Second
7271
#36DQ
12.10.8
9.08.2
Auto1.1
Teleop9.2
End1.9
blue by 7.6
4251
#25
19.70.3
13.013.3
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End3.8
Third
5613
#28
11.40.8
6.55.7
Auto3.1
Teleop6.3
End2.1
blue by 2.9
7088
#26
14.40.3
11.712.0
Auto3.4
Teleop7.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed