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Red19
754021.0
473437.1
881612.9
Blue109
541162.7
246851.1
406338.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6013905010015020019109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+80
Endgame+90
Fouls+90
AutonomousBlue +20
3Leave3
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
3Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +60
2Coral scored#11
8Coral points40
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
0Processor points12
4Net points20
4Algae points32
12Total teleop72
Reef
1L4#7
1L3#4
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +90
0Foul points0
19Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4734
#18
37.13.0
29.326.3
Auto8.5
Teleop24.4
End4.2
blue by 25.6
62.70.8
45.444.5
Auto14.7
Teleop39.0
End9.1
Second
7540
#34
21.03.0
12.99.9
Auto2.8
Teleop16.0
End2.2
blue by 30.1
51.10.8
36.435.6
Auto6.1
Teleop38.5
End6.4
Third
8816
#35
12.93.3
15.912.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.0
End2.3
blue by 25.6
38.50.9
34.733.7
Auto6.4
Teleop30.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed87%Barge oddsEarned