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Red41
265713.6
425119.7
908018.7
Blue79
840813.8
303537.2
874943.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions429401502004179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+38
Endgame+38
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave0
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points30
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +17
5Coral scored#7
18Coral points25
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
26Total teleop43
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points0
41Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4251
#25
19.70.5
11.510.9
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End3.8
blue by 23.7
43.40.2
34.033.8
Auto9.4
Teleop26.2
End7.8
Second
9080
#33
18.70.5
17.416.9
Auto3.8
Teleop12.1
End2.7
blue by 18.5
37.20.2
31.130.9
Auto6.5
Teleop26.9
End3.8
Third
2657
#29
13.60.5
11.611.0
Auto3.2
Teleop7.0
End3.4
blue by 0.2
8408
#20
13.80.2
10.910.7
Auto4.5
Teleop6.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsMissed