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Red37
697423.8
415322.3
962019.1
Blue45
913637.5
561311.4
881612.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64670501001502003745

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +13
4Coral scored#7
13Coral points26
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
21Total teleop34
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
37Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6974
#14
23.81.1
16.415.3
Auto3.1
Teleop17.1
End3.6
blue by 13.7
9136
#11
37.50.7
33.732.9
Auto5.4
Teleop29.5
End2.6
Second
22.31.1
19.918.9
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End4.7
red by 9.4
8816
#35
12.90.7
14.914.2
Auto3.7
Teleop7.0
End2.3
Third
9620
#23
19.11.8
16.614.8
Auto3.5
Teleop16.2
End-0.6
red by 7.6
5613
#28
11.40.7
7.46.6
Auto3.1
Teleop6.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed