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Red87
913637.5
978619.2
852811.5
Blue161
425119.7
636979.1
303537.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55129010015020087161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+52
Endgame+72
Fouls+74
AutonomousBlue +31
6Leave6
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points31
6Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +21
14Coral scored#18
51Coral points66
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
12Processor points18
12Net points12
24Algae points30
75Total teleop96
Reef
4L4#10
6L3#4
3L2#6
1L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +74
0Foul points2
87Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9136
#11
37.50.3
32.933.2
Auto5.4
Teleop29.5
End2.6
blue by 41.6
79.12.0
66.268.2
Auto19.8
Teleop47.1
End12.2
Second
9786
#30
19.20.3
10.410.7
Auto3.7
Teleop13.5
End1.9
blue by 18.1
37.22.0
30.932.9
Auto6.5
Teleop26.9
End3.8
Third
8528
#32
11.50.3
13.213.5
Auto2.9
Teleop5.6
End2.9
blue by 8.3
4251
#25
19.72.0
10.912.9
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsEarned