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Red62
881612.9
406338.5
278924.7
Blue94
874943.4
910563.8
708814.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8611140601001201401606294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+22
Teleop+22
Endgame+34
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +22
0Leave3
3Coral scored#7
15Coral points34
15Total auto37
Teleoperatedlevel
9Coral scored#7
33Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
43Total teleop43
Reef
5L4#6
2L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
2Foul points0
62Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.51.3
36.635.3
Auto6.4
Teleop30.2
End2.0
blue by 25.3
63.80.3
48.748.5
Auto14.2
Teleop40.8
End8.7
Second
2789
#27
24.71.3
25.924.6
Auto5.8
Teleop14.9
End4.0
blue by 18.7
43.40.3
33.833.5
Auto9.4
Teleop26.2
End7.8
Third
8816
#35
12.91.3
14.212.9
Auto3.7
Teleop7.0
End2.3
blue by 1.4
7088
#26
14.40.3
12.212.0
Auto3.4
Teleop7.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsEarned