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Red77
473437.1
697423.8
851217.1
Blue60
727112.1
1034035.1
1006213.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78600501001507760

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+17Teleop
+29Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave9
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points11
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +28
11Coral scored#5
40Coral points18
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
54Total teleop26
Reef
5L4#2
4L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#9
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points12
77Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4734
#18
37.10.3
28.829.1
Auto8.5
Teleop24.4
End4.2
red by 2.0
35.10.7
24.724.0
Auto9.2
Teleop20.3
End5.6
Second
6974
#14
23.80.3
15.315.6
Auto3.1
Teleop17.1
End3.6
red by 10.0
13.90.7
14.914.2
Auto3.3
Teleop7.9
End2.7
Third
8512
#15
17.10.4
16.917.3
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End2.8
red by 5.0
7271
#36DQ
12.10.7
8.57.8
Auto1.1
Teleop9.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsEarned