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Red118
406338.5
874943.4
521224.5
Blue130
727112.1
303537.2
541162.7
46%Model gave it54%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105111050150200250118130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+4
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave3
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points17
26Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +10
20Coral scored#19
72Coral points68
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
86Total teleop96
Reef
10L4#7
8L3#8
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
118Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.41.8
33.535.4
Auto9.4
Teleop26.2
End7.8
blue by 19.3
62.72.3
54.556.8
Auto14.7
Teleop39.0
End9.1
Second
38.51.8
35.337.2
Auto6.4
Teleop30.2
End2.0
red by 1.3
37.22.3
32.935.2
Auto6.5
Teleop26.9
End3.8
Third
5212
#16
24.51.8
22.023.8
Auto3.2
Teleop20.5
End0.8
red by 12.4
7271
#36
12.12.3
7.810.1
Auto1.1
Teleop9.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsEarned