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Red52
908018.7
1006213.9
415322.3
Blue99
1034035.1
278924.7
978619.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70802040601001201405299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+31
Endgame+53
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave9
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +14
8Coral scored#9
27Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
33Total teleop47
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#2
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
6Foul points0
52Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.30.9
23.422.5
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End4.7
blue by 12.8
35.12.2
25.527.7
Auto9.2
Teleop20.3
End5.6
Second
9080
#33
18.70.9
18.417.5
Auto3.8
Teleop12.1
End2.7
blue by 6.0
2789
#27
24.72.2
27.029.1
Auto5.8
Teleop14.9
End4.0
Third
13.90.9
15.714.8
Auto3.3
Teleop7.9
End2.7
blue by 5.3
9786
#30
19.22.2
10.813.0
Auto3.7
Teleop13.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned