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Red67
708814.4
265713.6
913637.5
Blue46
950628.5
881612.9
852811.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696002040801001201406746

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+31Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +31
11Coral scored#3
38Coral points11
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
52Total teleop21
Reef
5L4#1
4L3#1
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
15Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
67Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9136
#11
37.50.2
33.233.4
Auto5.4
Teleop29.5
End2.6
red by 9.1
9506
#22
28.50.7
25.224.5
Auto3.6
Teleop19.3
End5.5
Second
7088
#26
14.40.2
12.012.2
Auto3.4
Teleop7.2
End3.7
red by 1.4
8816
#35
12.90.7
12.912.2
Auto3.7
Teleop7.0
End2.3
Third
2657
#29
13.60.2
13.013.2
Auto3.2
Teleop7.0
End3.4
red by 2.1
8528
#32
11.50.7
13.512.7
Auto2.9
Teleop5.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned