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Red69
962019.1
912838.8
116432.7
Blue58
676824.3
750621.0
840813.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94290204060801201401606958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+19Teleop
+19Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +16
11Coral scored#8
39Coral points27
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
47Total teleop31
Reef
6L4#4
2L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
6Foul points14
69Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9128
#17
38.81.3
43.742.3
Auto7.9
Teleop25.0
End5.9
red by 14.4
6768
#31
24.30.4
15.315.7
Auto5.0
Teleop16.9
End2.5
Second
1164
#10
32.71.3
24.623.3
Auto6.7
Teleop24.7
End1.4
red by 11.8
7506
#19
21.00.4
12.312.7
Auto4.0
Teleop12.0
End5.0
Third
9620
#23
19.12.2
14.812.6
Auto3.5
Teleop16.2
End-0.6
red by 5.3
8408
#20
13.80.4
10.711.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed