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Red116
910563.8
425119.7
962019.1
Blue99
473437.1
586619.0
676824.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions917505015020025030035040011699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+29Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave9
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points17
30Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +25
13Coral scored#12
48Coral points43
4Processor algae#0
3Net algae#4
24Processor points0
12Net points16
36Algae points16
84Total teleop59
Reef
5L4#6
6L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
116Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.82.1
48.550.5
Auto14.2
Teleop40.8
End8.7
red by 26.7
4734
#18
37.11.6
29.130.7
Auto8.5
Teleop24.4
End4.2
Second
4251
#25
19.72.1
12.915.0
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End3.8
blue by 4.6
6768
#31
24.31.6
15.717.3
Auto5.0
Teleop16.9
End2.5
Third
9620
#23
19.13.4
12.616.0
Auto3.5
Teleop16.2
End-0.6
Level
5866
#24
19.01.6
19.220.8
Auto4.0
Teleop10.5
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsEarned